This is an individual assignment where you will analyze movements in the exchange rate for a currency pair. You may choose any pair of currencies where you can find data for at least one year. You may want to choose a pair that you are familiar with from work or from your own personal experience. You could start looking for data on websites such as Bloomberg or XE.com.
In a word-processed document of no more than 1000 words, your report should include a clearly labeled graph of the currency pair and analysis of their performance over the past year including:
· Discussion of any trade or interest rate factors
· Description of economic conditions and forecasts
· Analysis of the reasons for any changes.
You should also include an Excel file with the underlying data and the calculations (not just the numbers) that you performed. In this Excel file, you should empirically test the following theories:
– International fisher effect
– Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)
– Estimate NPV using home and foreign currency approaches
This means you will try to fit actual numbers to the theories to see if the theory’s predictions match what actually happened to the currency pair. Make sure to properly reference all of your sources and clearly justify any assumptions.
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